Markets Gone Wild: Insights on Recent Volatility
8,451
Published 2024-08-05
🟢 GREAT BROKERAGE ACCOUNT: bit.ly/3mIUUfC
In this episode of the Stock Market Brief Show titled "This is NOT Normal," we delve into the extraordinary and unprecedented market conditions we are witnessing. We start by highlighting the recent trigger of the Psalm Rule, an early indicator of a recession, and the critical situation with the Bank of Japan, whose rate hikes are causing the yen carry trade to unwind. We also discuss significant geopolitical risks, including heightened tensions in Israel and the blackout period of Jerome Powell, leaving markets without guidance until September.
We then move on to analyze the massive daily expected moves in key indices like the SPY and IWM, noting that these moves are larger than typical weekly ones. The VIX has surged dramatically, filling a gap from 2020 and reaching levels not seen since the pandemic. We break down the expected moves for the S&P 500, providing detailed insights into daily and weekly volatility and what these moves mean for traders.
Historical market analogs are examined to provide context for the current volatility, comparing recent patterns to those seen in 2007 and during the 2022 bear market. We discuss the implications of these patterns and the necessity of adapting trading strategies to high volatility environments.
The episode also covers the yield curve, particularly the ten-year and two-year yields, and the potential for un-inversion. We analyze the historical correlation between un-inversion and market rallies, adding another layer to our comprehensive market overview.
Finally, we dive into gamma levels in the SPX chart, identifying critical levels like 5200, 5150, and the significant 5000 level. Understanding these gamma levels helps anticipate market behavior, especially in volatile conditions.
This episode provides a thorough analysis of the current market turbulence, equipping viewers with the knowledge to navigate these challenging times strategically.
__________________________________________________________________________________________
🔔 Subscribe now and never miss an update: youtube.com/c/figuringoutmoney?sub_confirmation=1
📧 For business inquiries or collaboration opportunities, please contact us at [email protected]
📈 Follow us on social media for more insights and updates:
🟢 Instagram: www.instagram.com/figuringoutmoney
🟢 Twitter: twitter.com/mikepsilva
______________________________________________________________________________________________
DISCLAIMER: I am not a professional investment advisor, nor do I claim to be. All my videos are for entertainment and educational purposes only. This is not trading advice. I am wrong all the time. Everything you watch on my channel is my opinion. Links included in this description might be affiliate links. If you purchase a product or service with the links that I provide I may receive a small commission. There is no additional charge to you! Thank you for supporting my channel :)
Interactive Brokers provides execution and clearing services to its customers. Influencer is not affiliated with, recommended by or an agent of Interactive Brokers. Interactive Brokers makes no representation and assumes no liability to the accuracy or completeness of the information
provided in this video. For more information regarding Interactive Brokers, please visit www.interactivebrokers.com. None of the information contained herein constitutes a recommendation, offer, or solicitation of
an offer by Interactive Brokers to buy, sell or hold any security, financial product or instrument or to engage in any specific investment strategy. Investment involves risks. Investors should obtain their own independent financial advice and understand the risks associated with investment
products/ services before making investment decisions. Risk disclosure statements can be found on the Interactive Brokers website. Influencer is a customer of Interactive Brokers. Interactive Brokers and Influencer have entered into a cost-per-click agreement under which Interactive pays Influencer a fee for each click-through of the Interactive Brokers URL posted herein.
#Stock​market #StockMarketAnalysis #Day​Trading
All Comments (21)
-
🟢 TRADE IDEAS & DISCORD: www.patreon.com/figuringoutmoney 🟢 GREAT BROKERAGE ACCOUNT: bit.ly/3mIUUfC
-
Market trends hint at lower prices, but this could also open doors for smart investments. Despite a possible short-term slump, remember the market's long-term potential. Downturns can be entry points for portfolio expansion. Success lies in informed decisions and strategic planning. Thanks to Loraine Souvenir’s insights, daily trade signals, and my dedication to learning, I've been increasing my daily earnings. Kudos to the journey ahead!
-
I have huge shares of Nvidia. This past week has been slaughtering me, at this point I'm worn out worrying about the right etf's to buy.
-
Hi Mike. I've been watching your updates for years, and I have to say I got to respect you as the top of any market analyst out there. Especially calling out the bizarre VIX contraction and this boom was awesome. I was trying my best to stay within myself for trading but I will have to be subscribing to your discord now to see what your daily thoughts are at this point haha.
-
I agree, none of this is normal. Despite what the pundits say on CNBC or wherever, this volatility in not part of a 'bull market'.
-
Amazing analysis thanks. Thanks also to coco for minding the markets. 😊😊
-
Buy the dip/pullback. I’ve looked at the S&P 500 chart and it typically rises over time. A correction is a 10% drop, which is more than the current dip/pullback.
-
Claudia Sahm went on TV last week and disagreed with her own indicator. She says it doesn't factor in labor supply
-
Thanks for everything, Mike! Truly appreciate it.
-
Thank You, Mr. Silva 😊
-
Thanks Mike
-
Great stuff Mike, I love how you cross correlate all markets. Cheers!
-
SPX and ES both closed below the YTD AVWAP
-
First think I thought about when I saw the VIX today - that gap and your channel.
-
VIX spike was great opportunity to buy SVIX for a quick profit.
-
Always insightful. One of the few channels that is honest and reliable. Great live as well. Many thanks.
-
The best to do it, thanks man
-
Thank you!
-
Keep going down.. Which i doubt it.. I see you boys once the macd and the stochastics turn positive in mags
-
Thats a biiig volume bar for yesterday! its about time, volume been weak! 🔉
