Humanity was born way ahead of its time. The reason is grabby aliens.

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Published 2021-09-22
Considering the hurdles that simple dead matter has to go through before becoming an advanced civilization and that there might be habitable planets lasting trillions of years, humanity looks incredibly early. Very suspiciously so. Robin Hanson, who first came up with the great filter in 1996, offers a compelling explanation: grabby aliens. They are defined as civilizations that 1. expand from their origin planet at a fraction of the speed of light, 2. make significant and visible changes wherever they go, and 3. Last a very long time. Such aliens explain human earliness because they set a deadline for other civilizations to appear. Non-grabby civilizations like ours can only appear early because later, every habitable planet will be taken. This is a selection effect. Plus, grabby civilizations are plausible for many other reasons: life on Earth, and humans, look grabby in many ways. Species, cultures, and organizations tend to expand in new niches and territories when possible, and they tend to modify their environment significantly. In the video, we also delve into the plausibility of space travel. As always, you can support us on:

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Sources and further readings:

Robin Hanson's paper on Grabby Aliens - updated since the one shown in the video: grabbyaliens.com/paper

Grabby Aliens website: grabbyaliens.com/

The Great Filter - Are We Almost Past It? mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/greatfilter.html
Note that the date is 1998, not 1996. According to Wikipedia, 1996 is the date of the first version of the paper.

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Music attribution

Dreams Become Real by Kevin MacLeod is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 license. creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Source: incompetech.com/music/royalty-free/index.html?isrc…

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Chapters:

0:00 - Overview
1:05 - The question behind the model
1:16 - The hard-steps model
3:16 - Estimating human earliness
6:53 - Grabby aliens explain human earliness
9:17 - Other reasons why grabby aliens are plausible
12:15 - Next video
12:22 - Become a pat

All Comments (21)
  • @petersmythe6462
    I mean, looking mildly early is ok. It's when we look so early that someone is gonna accuse us of manipulating our pearl and blaze rod drop rates that this is concerning.
  • @tonymcgray9599
    If you want to see the grabby aliens hypothesis in action, play stellaris
  • @TimZoet
    We always think about 'what if we found life on another planet?' But I just had the thought of what if we find a mining probe working on a different planet. That would be even crazier. Not only did we discover other life, but they're more advanced than us.
  • @RifterDask
    We do often overlook the fact that we haven’t always been alone. We used to share the Earth with other intelligent hominids, but they were all killed or, in the case of the Neanderthals, integrated and absorbed into our own species over time.
  • I have oft been a fan of the concept of "Humans are the ancient precursors."
  • @satortenet
    Drake: "There must be aliens somewhere!" Fermi: "So, where are they?" Hanson: "We are the aliens."
  • The biggest problem I have with the "grabby aliens" hypothesis is that it assumes interstellar civilizations would have resource desires and needs that directly conflict with our own. However this could be a flawed assumption for a number of reasons: If it's possible for a species to travel light years away in some fashion, then given how empty space is, it's unlikely that they're explicitly dependent on planets for resources. Planets are infrequent, have high gravity and other hazards that mean they take HUGE amounts of conventional energy and effort to deal with. Let's take water for example, which is the most essential substance for life we know of. Despite the fact that Earth has literal oceans of the stuff, for a space faring civilization it'd be far more efficient to mine planets and asteroids, or even simply harvest hydrogen and oxygen from nebulae etc., then to land on a planet massive enough to hold water and grab it from there. Even if we assume ultra advanced future tech makes it easier to harvest water from an earth-like planet then it is today...why wouldn't it be even easier and more efficient to still get water from those other sources? Additionally, it's plausible that microbiological life on any alien planets are a potential extreme hazard to any species that evolved on a different planet; because their mere metabolism might produce compounds that are highly-toxic to alien life from other planets. If there's not a credible, ultra-scientifically advanced way around this...then one would expect aliens to actively avoid at least any physical contact with other life-bearing worlds.
  • @AnomalyAlter
    The idea that we humans are amongst the few primordial species to arise in the universe is not frequently considered, though interesting Of those whom believe we are not alone, it's far in a way common to depict our own race as the slowpokes of the stars. I believe the idea that we could be in first place with all our flaws is a scary one to some. More comfort in being able to look up at a race more competent than ourselves, whether that be to our betterment or detriment. Us holding the reigns? Like an unsupervised child swimming in the deep end of a pool.
  • @ro2202
    It's so interesting that, in spite of all the media involving humans discovering ancient civilizations that knew great secrets about the universe, it's likely that we are that ancient civilization that some civilization will stumble across. We might be the ones that arrive and give others our secrets, because we're the only ones here as of now.
  • @d00mshr00med
    I feel like the grabby aliens concept is honestly something we already knew and just hadn’t acknowledged. When we’re surprised at how β€œearly” we are, we’re really just saying that we’re surprised to (maybe) be one of the very few grabby aliens.
  • @ryanpmcguire
    A better way to put it: you come to a party and without looking to see who is there, you find that the snack table looks completely untouched. Therefore, you must conclude that either you are early or no one decided to come.
  • @adamlytle2615
    I've come to suspect that being "grabby" in and of itself is one of the great filters. We don't see expansionist alien civs because that tendency tends to result in their own collapse before they ever escape their own gravity well in any sort of significant way. If you can last long enough to become space faring, you almost by default have learned to live within your own means.
  • @Aesthics
    This channel is going to grow like crazy. Love the content!
  • @TheInfamousOryx
    When your channel blows up and starts making merchandise I want all the grabby alien plushies. Which should be in a week or so. Really enjoying your work. Keep being awesome.
  • It would be very interesting to see younger alien species evolve and grow, going through the same or similar struggles as we did and are currently. Maybe poking them on occasion for a bit of fun and to see their reactions. Making sure their nukes won’t work if the worst happens and someone gets a bit too trigger happy when looking at each other. Then, eventually, welcoming them to the stage and introducing them to the universe and it’s wonders. I hope we have someone like that, looking out for us.
  • I think we have to contemplate the hypothesis that intelligent life at the human level is extremely rare.Suffice it to note that intelligent life like us has not appeared on Earth in billions of years.And even then, it was just a species that emerged and that almost went extinct.
  • @Neatling
    Fascinating stuff! I rarely find such a gem through YouTube recommendations. You did an incredible job explaining the model in a way your more casual space and science geek can understand.
  • @awesomesauce980
    I'm often confused by why people think we should be communicating with aliens by now. Our earliest transmissions, if they've managed to maintain coherency at all, are only about 80 light years away. We've been discovering hidden tribes on Earth up to the past decade, so who's to say we just haven't been passed over?
  • @anthrat
    I really like this kind of storytelling. You parsed an academic paper and presented in a way that makes it incredibly accessible and super cool to watch. sub++